Dexamethasone, remdesivir, plasma, doxycycline: Which works for Covid and which doesn’t




ebola still alive :: Article Creator

The Ebola Survivors Who Are Still Infectious – 10 Years After The World's Biggest Outbreak

The villagers hack a path for us through a dense tangle of leaves and vines towards the decayed carcass of a once great tree. It is on this exact spot in the depths of Guinea's vast southern forest that the West African Ebola epidemic is believed to have started, exactly 10 years ago.

Local legend goes like this: in late December 2013, two young boys were playing at the base of the giant hallowed out tree when they heard a noise from within. They lit a fire and smoked out a roosting colony of bats; many fell into the flames.

Charged by their village with scavenging food, the boys took the bats home where they were cooked and eaten. There was no way of knowing that the creatures were infected with a pathogen that kills 50 per cent of the people it infects.

Ebola is known to circulate in local bat populations and was present in the region long before the start of the West Africa outbreak Credit: Simon Townsley/The Telegraph

"We were told this is where the Ebola virus came from," says Kekoura Lemo, the former chief of Meliandou, pointing to the tree – which was burned by the villagers when its link to the outbreak later emerged.

"When it started, I was very scared as the leader; you see people dying in your village and then the next person and the next. You're helpless. We had so much death."

Beside him is 11-year-old Felix Ouamouno. He was just one when the virus spilled out of the forest and tore through Meliandou, killing 25 people. Among those who died were his mother, sister, aunt and grandmother – he survived only because he was separated from the sick.

A boy stands in the doorway of the first house to report Ebola in 2013, Meliandou Village Credit: Simon Townsley/The Telegraph

"I wish I could remember them," he says. "Another family has taken care of me since."

The village – an impoverished clustering of mud-brick huts without any sanitation or power – was ground zero in an Ebola outbreak that would go on to become the worst in history. Between December 2013 and June 2016, nearly 30,000 people were infected and 11,000 killed across West Africa. Liberia, Sierra Leone and Guinea were hardest hit.

Even today the grim legacy of the epidemic lives on. Sporadic outbreaks have occurred ever since – and experts now believe it is lingering in an unlikely source: the testicles of male survivors.

Southern Guinea was the first to bear the brunt of the epidemic Credit: Simon Townsley/The Telegraph

Two years ago, the virus re-emerged in Guinea – killing 12 people and infecting 23 – and was eventually traced back to someone who had survived the West Africa epidemic and transmitted it via their semen to a partner.

The finding, based on genetic sequencing of patient samples, shocked researchers. Prior to then, the longest the virus had been known to persist in a survivor was 500 days.

Professor Miles Carroll, an infectious disease expert at Oxford University's Pandemic Sciences Institute, is conducting research into how the Ebola virus replicates in former patients and how long it can survive for.

"It's shocking that the virus can persist for so long in the testes," he says. "This is extremely high risk, because without the capabilities that Guinea has – a result of its experience in the previous epidemic – the 2021 outbreak could have become much bigger."

The race is now on to unpick this scientific puzzle, and ensure the catastrophe which unfolded ten years ago – first as a trickle, then as a tsunami – isn't repeated.

Meliandou village was the epicentre of the outbreak Credit: Simon Townsley

The town of Guéckédou, a ragged maze of tin-roofed houses and bustling market streets in south Guinea, carries a dark past.

It was here, in the final weeks of 2013, that a sudden wave of sickened patients were rushed to hospital, brought from Meliandou and other villages of the surrounding forest, only to expire in bloodied rags.

Marie Lovo-Bore, 35, lost her son and her husband Credit: Simon Townsley/The Telegraph

At the time, health officials did not know what was behind the illness. Amid the mounting hysteria that rippled through Guéckédou in those early days, there were reports of the dead being piled high in store rooms and later thrown into mass graves.

It took nearly three months to identify Ebola as responsible. By that point, it was too late – the virus had already been exported into neighbouring Liberia and Sierra Leone, in what was the beginning of its onward journey through West Africa.

By the time the epicentre of the outbreak shifted away from Guéckédou, in July 2014, hundreds had been infected and died.

Saa Kamano, now 46, was one of the lucky ones. He survived his encounter with Ebola after weeks in hospital. "I'm blessed to be here today," he says.

He's sat outside the front of Guéckédou's dedicated infectious disease hospital, rebuilt in the aftermath of the epidemic, but the topic of discussion isn't his fight with one of the world's deadliest diseases or how close he came to death. It concerns what happened next.

Ebola survivor Saa Kamano Credit: Simon Townsley/The Telegraph

After being discharged, Kamano was given a small supply of condoms and told that, even though he was no longer testing positive for Ebola, there was a chance that viral remnants from the infection might still appear in his semen.

He was told these RNA fragments would disappear after six months, then after nine months, and then after 12 months. At one stage, in 2018, he and other male survivors from Guéckédou and southern Guinea were approached to provide semen samples for analysis.

"But we were never told the outcome of the tests," says Kamano, whose first marriage broke down in the months after his recovery from Ebola due his then wife's fear he could be infectious.

The home of the first victims of the 2013 Ebola outbreak Credit: Simon Townsley/The Telegraph

He still does not know if he has fragments of the virus in his testicles. Given the re-emergence of the disease in 2021 – triggered by a survivor much like him – the uncertainty surrounding his own status is a constant worry.

"It's like you're wounded psychologically," he says. "I've remarried and it was difficult having this conversation with my new wife at the beginning. She had been an Ebola contact herself, so she understood the disease. We got through it together, but it was a struggle."

So far, there have been no scares with his wife, indicating that Kamano is free of the virus. But it's no guarantee.

One theory, held by Carroll and others, is that the sexual transmission of Ebola is linked to "extramarital affairs" or the establishment of new sexual relationships.

"I believe you only get these flare-ups when a male survivor harbouring the virus finds a completely naive partner," says Carroll.

"His long-term partner will have a level of immunity – probably as a survivor or through background exposure. So she's safe. But it's a different story with a new, immunologically naive partner, who is vulnerable to developing serious disease upon sleeping with this man."

Health worker Catherine Lemo (seated) at the Meliandou clinic, which still has limited drugs and no PPE Credit: 2023 © Simon Townsley Ltd/Simon Townsley

Some have suggested that the 2021 Guinea outbreak was the product of an affair, though, perhaps unsurprisingly, there is no evidence to support this theory.

Yet Carroll stresses that there are a "number of factors which likely have to align" to facilitate the sexual transmission of Ebola.

"For a woman to become infected, you'd need to find someone who's immunologically naive to the virus, who's receptive to infection; and the male survivor has to obviously be sexually active," says Carroll.

As part of his research, Carroll and his team at Oxford University are growing testicle cells in a petri-dish, which will then be infected with Ebola virus and closely monitored.

The remains of an Ebola treatment centre at Bofossou, Macenta District, now reclaimed by the jungle Credit: Simon Townsley/The Telegraph

"In the testicles, we believe it replicates a lot more slowly compared to when it's in the blood," he says. "It's in a sort of semi-state of dormancy, which is probably the mechanism behind its persistence. Our project aims to better understand this mechanism."

To determine the scale of the threat posed by male survivors with Ebola in their testicles, it would help knowing how many are out there in West Africa. But putting a number on this isn't easy.

"We don't have the data to model it," says Carroll, who has instead formulated a rough, back-of-the-envelope calculation to try and quantify the issue.

Of those who survived Ebola, only 10 per cent were shedding the virus a year after their infection, he explains. Nearly a decade on, a further five per cent of this sub-group could possibly be harbouring the virus.

Take into account that "roughly" half of the survivors are male – not all of whom will be sexually active – and that means there is a very small number of men who could be carrying the virus and have the potential to trigger another outbreak, suggests Carroll.

Kamano would have to be desperately unfortunate to be among this cohort. Yet this hasn't stopped him from seeking closure.

He's especially concerned by the prospect of infecting his future children. "When a woman has HIV, it can be passed on to their child," he says. "Could we also do the same in passing on Ebola to our children?

"Research into this should continue until we have a final answer."

Etienne lost his son, daughter and pregnant wife – the midwife caring for her also died Credit: Simon Townsley

The fear of what has been has not faded from the village of Meliandou. Here, the horrors of the past remain raw, carried by those who lived through the worst days of the outbreak.

Of all those who suffered, Etienne Ouamouno's story is among the most heartbreaking.

His family was the first to be infected. He lost his two-year-old son, his three-year-old daughter and his then pregnant wife. Her passing – bloody and catastrophic – came last, and likely served as a super-spreading event.

Etienne describes how she began bleeding and entered, prematurely, into labour. Midwives were called to deliver her baby, born dead, and were infected in the process.

"We went to bury the child immediately," he remembers. "When we'd returned, people were crying – my wife had also died. I lost so much."

At the time, many of the ill were taken to Guéckédou's infectious disease hospital or treated in their own homes by visiting nurses, who took the virus back with them to the town.

Catherine Lemo, the village's dedicated health lead, believes Meliandou remains deeply unprepared for future outbreaks Credit: Simon Townsley/The Telegraph

A mass funeral for an elderly woman, attended by locals from neighbouring villages, also helped further fuel the spread of the virus across the region.

"We called for help and they started testing people for known diseases but these came back negative," says Lemo, the former chief. "The only thing we could do was isolate those presenting with symptoms; that was how they were able to keep people alive."

Today, the villagers do what they can to keep safe from the continuing threat posed by Ebola, which is known to circulate in local bat populations and was present in the region long before the start of the West Africa outbreak.

The village health centre lacks basic drugs like antibiotics and paracetamol Credit: Simon Townsley/The Telegraph

Bats and other high-risk bushmeat are no longer eaten and better hygiene standards are practised, with people reminded every Saturday morning to "keep their homes clean and wash their hands with soap," says Catherine Lemo, the village's dedicated health lead.

But Meliandou remains deeply unprepared for future outbreaks, says Catherine.

The village health centre – no bigger than an oversized shed – lacks basic drugs like antibiotics and paracetamol. It doesn't have a water tank, sinks or an incinerator to burn bio-waste. The solar panels fitted to the roof don't even provide enough electricity to power the lights at night. And there are no forceps to help deliver babies.

"We have very little here," says Catherine, as she runs through the long list of medical essentials unavailable to her and the patients she's expected to care for.

"You have to apply for health packages from the authorities in Guéckédou. But often when we need medicine, we can't afford it. We need more support."

Lemo has a different message. "We want everyone to remember what we went through," he says. "Otherwise, we risk it happening again."

Protect yourself and your family by learning more about Global Health Security.


Seeking The Source Of Ebola

This story appears in the July 2015 issue of National Geographic magazine.

No one foresaw, back in December of 2013, that the little boy who fell ill in a village called Méliandou, in Guinea, West Africa, would be the starting point of a gruesome epidemic, one that would devastate three countries and provoke concern, fear, and argument around the planet.

No one imagined that this child's death, after just a few days' suffering, would be only the first of many thousands. His name was Emile Ouamouno. His symptoms were stark—intense fever, black stool, vomiting—but those could have been signs of other diseases, including malaria. Sad to say, children die of unidentified fevers and diarrheal ailments all too frequently in African villages. But soon the boy's sister was dead too, and then his mother, his grandmother, a village midwife, and a nurse. The contagion spread through Méliandou to other villages of southern Guinea. This was almost three months before the word "Ebola" began to flicker luridly in email traffic between Guinea and the wider world.

The public health authorities based in Guinea's capital, Conakry, and the viral disease trackers from abroad weren't in Méliandou when Emile Ouamouno died. Had they been, and had they understood that he was the first case in an outbreak of Ebola virus disease, they might have directed some timely attention to an important unknown: How did this boy get sick? What did he do, what did he touch, what did he eat? If Ebola virus was in his body, where did it come from?

Under Suspicion

Straw-colored fruit bats swarm in an Ivory Coast village. Fruit bats, some of which have been suspected of carrying Ebola, are abundant in many parts of Africa and are often eaten.

Please be respectful of copyright. Unauthorized use is prohibited.

Among the most puzzling aspects of Ebola virus, since its first recognized emergence almost four decades ago, is that it disappears for years at a time. Since a 1976 outbreak in what then was Zaire (now the Democratic Republic of the Congo) and a simultaneous episode with a closely related virus in what was then southern Sudan (now South Sudan), the sequence of Ebola events, large and small, has been sporadic. During one stretch of 17 years (1977-1994) not a single confirmed human death from infection with Ebola virus occurred. This is not a subtle bug that simmers delicately among people, causing nothing more than mild headaches and sniffles. If it had been circulating in human populations for those 17 years, we would have known.

A virus can't survive for long, or replicate at all, except within a living creature. That means it needs a host—at least one kind of animal, or plant, or fungus, or microbe, whose body serves as its primary environment and whose cell machinery it can co-opt for reproducing. Some harmful viruses abide in nonhuman animals and only occasionally spill into people. They cause diseases that scientists label zoonoses. Ebola is a zoonosis, an especially nasty and perplexing one—killing many of its human victims in a matter of days, pushing others to the brink of death, and then vanishing. Where does it hide, quiet and inconspicuous, between outbreaks?

Not in chimpanzees or gorillas; field studies have shown that Ebola often kills them too. Dramatic die-offs of chimps and gorillas have occurred around the same time and in the same area as Ebola virus disease outbreaks in humans, and some carcasses have tested positive for signs of the virus. Scavenging ape carcasses for food, in fact, has been one of the routes by which humans have infected themselves with Ebola. So the African apes are highly unlikely to harbor Ebola. It hits them and explodes. It must lurk somewhere else.

Stricken

Delirious from Ebola, a man is lifted after he tried to climb the wall of the Hastings Ebola treatment center near Freetown, Sierra Leone's capital. Twelve hours later he died, one more fatality in a count that now exceeds 10,000.

Please be respectful of copyright. Unauthorized use is prohibited.

The creature in which a zoonotic virus exists over the long term, usually without causing symptoms, is known as a reservoir host. Monkeys serve as reservoir hosts for the yellow fever virus. Asian fruit bats of the genus Pteropus are reservoirs of Nipah virus, which killed more than a hundred people during a 1998-99 outbreak in Malaysia. Fruit bats also host Hendra virus in Australia, where it drops from bats into horses, with devastating effect, and then into horse handlers and veterinarians, often killing them. The passage event, when a virus goes from its reservoir host to another kind of creature, is termed spillover.

As for the reservoir host of Ebola—if you have heard that fruit bats again are the answer, you've heard supposition misrepresented as fact. Despite arduous efforts by some intrepid scientists, Ebola virus has never been tracked to its source in the wild.

"Where is it when it's not infecting humans?" Karl M. Johnson said to me recently. Johnson is an eminent virologist, a pioneer in Ebola research, the former head of the Viral Special Pathogens Branch at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). He led the international response team against that initial 1976 outbreak in Zaire, a harrowing venture into the unknown. He also led a team that isolated the virus in a CDC lab, demonstrated that it was new to science, and named it after a modest Zairean waterway, the Ebola River. Johnson wondered back then about its hiding place in the wild. But the urgency of human needs during any Ebola outbreak makes investigations in viral ecology difficult and unpopular. If you're an African villager, you don't want to see foreigners in moon suits methodically dissecting small mammals when your loved ones are being hauled away in body bags. Thirty-nine years later, although we're beginning to learn a bit, Johnson said, the identity of the reservoir host "is still largely a monster question mark out there."

Risky Belief

A healer prepares to exorcise a girl in Méliandou. Popular beliefs blame many ailments, including Ebola (which this girl did not have), on sorcery or malign spirits. Contact through some traditional practices can help spread the virus.

Please be respectful of copyright. Unauthorized use is prohibited.

A Rain of Bats

In April 2014, soon after word spread that the cluster of deaths in southern Guinea involved Ebola, Fabian Leendertz arrived there with a team of researchers. Leendertz is a German disease ecologist and veterinarian, based at the Robert Koch Institute in Berlin, who studies lethal zoonoses in wildlife, with special attention to West Africa. He reached southern Guinea by driving overland from Ivory Coast, where he has worked for 15 years in Taï National Park on disease outbreaks among chimpanzees and other animals. He brought with him three big vehicles, full of equipment and people, and two questions. Had there been a recent die-off among chimps or other wildlife, possibly putting meat-hungry humans at risk from infected carcasses? Alternatively, had there been direct transmission from the Ebola reservoir host, whatever it was, into the first human victim? Leendertz knew nothing at that point about Emile Ouamouno. His team spoke with officials and local people and walked survey transects through two forest reserves, finding neither testimony nor physical evidence of any remarkable deaths among chimpanzees or other large mammals. Then they shifted their attention to the village of Méliandou, talked with people there, and heard a very interesting story about a hollow tree full of bats.

These were small bats, the quick-flying kind that echolocate and feed on insects, not the big creatures that fly out majestically at dusk, like a Halloween vision of nocturnal crows, to eat fruit. The locals called them lolibelo. They were dainty as mice and smelly, with wriggly tails that extended beyond their hind membranes. Showing pictures and taking descriptions, Leendertz's team ascertained that the villagers were probably talking about the Angolan free-tailed bat (Mops condylurus).These bats had roosted in great numbers within a big, hollow tree that stood beside a trail near the village. Then, just weeks before, the tree had been burned, possibly during an attempt to gather honey. From the burning tree came what the people remembered as "a rain of bats." The dead bats were gathered up, filling a half dozen hundred-pound rice sacks, and might have been eaten except for a sudden announcement from the government that because of Ebola, consuming bush meat was now prohibited. So the Méliandou villagers threw the dead bats away.

Please be respectful of copyright. Unauthorized use is prohibited.

Please be respectful of copyright. Unauthorized use is prohibited.

Scientists wondered whether Angolan freetailed bats might be Ebola reservoirs after they discovered that the first victim, a small boy named Emile Ouamouno, may have played in a tree (left) in Méliandou, Guinea, where the bats roosted. Emile's father (right) holds snapshots of his family—all gone but him.

And there was something else about that hollow tree, the villagers told Leendertz's team. Children, possibly including Emile Ouamouno, used to play in it, sometimes catching the bats. They would even roast them on sticks and eat them.

Leendertz consulted a colleague with expertise in recovering DNA from environmental samples, who told him it might be feasible to find enough beneath the tree to identify the bat species that had roosted there. "So I started running around with my tubes and spoon collecting soil," Leendertz told me. Back in Berlin, genetic sequencing confirmed the presence of Angolan free-tailed bats. So this creature—an insectivorous bat, not a fruit bat—joined the list of candidates for the role of Ebola's reservoir host.

The Hitchhiker

The first clues in this long mystery—clues that seemed to point toward bats—arose from disease outbreaks caused by Marburg virus, Ebola's slightly less notorious relative within the group known as filoviruses. The story of Ebola is closely connected with that of Marburg, according to a seasoned South African virologist named Robert Swanepoel, who has long studied them both.

"The two are interlinked," he said, as we sat before a computer screen in his Pretoria home, looking at photographs from his archive. Swanepoel, who hides a genial heart within a bearish exterior, is retired from the National Institute for Communicable Diseases (NICD), in Johannesburg, where he ran the Special Pathogens Unit for 24 years, but is still busy with research and bristling with ideas and memories.

Please be respectful of copyright. Unauthorized use is prohibited.

Please be respectful of copyright. Unauthorized use is prohibited.

Quarantined children suspected of having Ebola ignore a string barrier as they greet a neighbor and her baby in Freetown. At right, mourners in the same city are allowed a moment of prayer before a man is buried by a government team following strict safety procedures.

Back in 1967, nine years before Ebola itself was recognized, a shipment of Ugandan monkeys intended for medical research arrived in Frankfurt and Marburg, in West Germany, and Belgrade, in Yugoslavia, bringing with them an unknown but dangerous virus. Laboratory workers became infected in each place, and then, secondarily, some family members and health workers. Among 32 confirmed cases, seven people died. The new virus, a spooky, filamentous thing, like a strand of toxic vermicelli, was given the name Marburg virus. Eight years later an Australian student died of Marburg virus disease in a Johannesburg hospital after a hitchhiking trip across Rhodesia (now Zimbabwe). He and his girlfriend—she got sick too but recovered—had done a few things that might have exposed them to infection: slept on the ground in a pasture, bought some raw eland meat, fed some caged monkeys. And they had visited the Chinhoyi Caves, a complex of caverns and sinkholes in northern Rhodesia that, like many caves in Africa, have been known to harbor bats. Along the way the hitchhiker also sustained some sort of insect or spider bite, which raised a painful red welt on his back. Investigation of his case in the immediate aftermath focused much on the bite, little on the caves.

Two other early cases of Marburg virus disease did cast some suspicion on caves and the bats that roost within them. In 1980 a French engineer who worked at a sugar factory near the base of Mount Elgon, in western Kenya, ventured into Kitum Cave, a deep passage into the volcanic rock of the mountain sometimes entered by elephants looking for salt. The engineer's cave visit was evidently a bad idea; he died of Marburg in a Nairobi hospital. In 1987 a Danish schoolboy climbed the mountain and explored the same cave during a family vacation, and he died of an infection with a virus (now known as Ravn virus) closely related to Marburg. These events engaged the notice of Swanepoel, down in Johannesburg. In 1995 came another outbreak—Ebola this time, not Marburg—centered on the city of Kikwit in what is now the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC). The chain of human-to-human infections, which totaled 315 cases and 254 deaths, began with a man who farmed manioc and made charcoal in a forest area at the city's edge. Swanepoel flew to Kikwit, joining an international team of responders. He came down with malaria, went home, recovered, and in early 1996, with the support of the World Health Organization, returned. His primary task was to look for the reservoir host, searching the same ecosystem where the outbreak had begun at the same time of year. "Already by that stage," he told me, "bats were on my mind."

Ebola outbreaks usually occur in isolated villages connected by bad roads and trails, such as this one in the DRC. The 2014 outbreak in West Africa was different—it quickly spread to urban areas.

Please be respectful of copyright. Unauthorized use is prohibited.

Swanepoel and his crew at Kikwit took blood and tissue not only from bats but also from a wide selection of other animals, including many insects. Screening those samples back at his lab in Johannesburg, he found no evidence of Ebola. So he tried an experimental approach, one that seemed almost maniacally thorough. Working in NICD's high-containment suite—biosafety level 4 (BSL-4), the highest—he personally injected live Ebola virus from the Kikwit outbreak into 24 kinds of plants and 19 kinds of animals, ranging from spiders and millipedes to lizards, birds, mice, and bats, and then monitored their condition over time. Though Ebola failed to take hold in most of the organisms, a low level of the virus—which had survived but probably hadn't replicated—was detected in a single spider, and bats sustained Ebola virus infection for at least 12 days. One of those bats was a fruit bat. Another was an Angolan free-tailed bat, the same little insectivore that would later catch Fabian Leendertz's attention in Méliandou. It was proof of principle, though not of fact: These creatures could be reservoir hosts.

Ten Thousand Haystacks

The events in Kikwit highlighted an important difference between Marburg and Ebola viruses that has persisted: Whereas outbreaks of Marburg virus disease usually begin around caves and mines, Ebola virus disease outbreaks usually begin with hunting and carcass scavenging, which are forest activities. This suggests the two viruses may emerge from two different kinds of reservoir hosts—or if bats are the hosts, two different kinds of bats, cave roosters and tree roosters.

Bush-meat hunters from a small village in the DRC's Orientale Province strip the outer layer of bark from a tree to make the traditional camouflage they wear while hunting monkeys and chimpanzees in the forest.<br>

Please be respectful of copyright. Unauthorized use is prohibited.

Two hunters wearing camouflage stalk monkeys in a forest in northeastern DRC. Hunting isn't always about subsistence; the sale of bush meat sometimes provides cash for education and health care as well as spending money.

Please be respectful of copyright. Unauthorized use is prohibited.

Sewing is usually the domain of women, but these bush-meat hunters cut and sew their own tree-bark camouflage, then use tree sap to paint dots on it.

Please be respectful of copyright. Unauthorized use is prohibited.

A hunter uses his gun to carry the monkey he shot. Monkeys are killed as food but are also sold for hard currency to supplement other, lower-paying activities, such as growing rice and making palm oil.

Please be respectful of copyright. Unauthorized use is prohibited.

1 / 4

1 / 4

Bush-meat hunters from a small village in the DRC's Orientale Province strip the outer layer of bark from a tree to make the traditional camouflage they wear while hunting monkeys and chimpanzees in the forest.<br>

Bush-meat hunters from a small village in the DRC's Orientale Province strip the outer layer of bark from a tree to make the traditional camouflage they wear while hunting monkeys and chimpanzees in the forest.

The pattern was reaffirmed during a cluster of Marburg outbreaks from 1998 to 2000, centered on a derelict gold-mining town called Durba, in the DRC. Bob Swanepoel led another expedition and found multiple chains of infection, most or all of which started with miners who worked underground. Miners who worked at open pits in the daylight were far more likely to stay healthy. This led Swanepoel to suspect cave-roosting Egyptian fruit bats as the virus source, though he didn't publish his suspicion at the time.

Then, beginning in late 2001 and extending into 2003, another series of small, independent outbreaks—of Ebola again, not Marburg—afflicted villagers in the densely forested borderlands of Gabon and the Republic of the Congo (which are west of the DRC, on the other side of the Congo River). Roughly 300 people became infected; almost 80 percent died. Meanwhile gorillas, chimpanzees, and duikers, small forest antelopes, started turning up dead in the same region. Each human outbreak seemed to start with an unfortunate person, usually a hunter, who'd handled an animal carcass.

"People were dying, and different animals were dying," said Janusz Paweska, nowadays Swanepoel's successor as head of Special Pathogens at NICD, when I visited him in Johannesburg. "So we thought, This is a good time to hunt for the Ebola reservoir."

Swanepoel enlisted Paweska and others, then arranged a partnered expedition with Eric Leroy, a French virologist based in Gabon who had responded to earlier Ebola outbreaks there. He met with Leroy in Gabon's capital, Libreville, before heading into the field.

A Grief Too Close

Yalala Therese sleeps beside her dead brother, laid out for his wake. The brother didn't die of Ebola, but if he had, such close contact—a common practice in West Africa as well as the DRC—would have risked infection.

Please be respectful of copyright. Unauthorized use is prohibited.

"I gave him a long story about how historically bats have been involved in Ebola and Marburg," Swanepoel told me. His team, he informed Leroy, had found fragments of Marburg, for instance, in the underground bats at Durba. Swanepoel had brought rodent traps, mist nets, and other collecting gear to Gabon. "Although I was fixated on bats, I said we had to cover everything," he recalled. That would include a variety of mammals, birds, mosquitoes, biting midges, and other insects. Swanepoel's group took home a third of the specimens and sent a third to the CDC in Atlanta, leaving a third to be tested by Leroy. The processing moved slowly in Swanepoel's lab and at the CDC, amid many other projects, and yielded no positives. "We drew a blank."

But Leroy's group went back. Eventually his team made three field trips to the border area, capturing and sampling more than a thousand animals, including 679 bats, on which Leroy too was now fixated. In 16 of those bats, belonging to three different fruit-eating species, they found antibodies—proteins marshaled by the immune system—that had reacted against Ebola virus. In 13 other fruit bats they detected very short fragments of Ebola RNA. It's important to note that those two kinds of evidence, antibodies and viral fragments, are analogous to finding the footprints of a Yeti in snow. You might or might not have something real. Isolating live virus—that is, growing fresh and infectious Ebola from a tissue sample—is the higher standard of evidence, almost like finding a real Yeti's foot attached to a real Yeti in a leghold trap. Leroy's group didn't succeed in growing live virus from any samples. Still, in 2005 the journal Nature published a paper on these results, written by Leroy but with Swanepoel and Paweska credited as co-authors, titled "Fruit Bats as Reservoirs of Ebola Virus." That paper, though cautious and provisional, is the primary source for all those careless, overly certain assertions you've seen in the popular media during the past year to the effect that Ebola virus resides in fruit bats.

Possibly it does. Or not. The paper itself says maybe.

Into the City

From villages such as Méliandou, the 2014 outbreak spread to urban areas, including Freetown's Kroo Bay. Crowding, poverty, and scant health services accelerated transmission, heightening fear and resentment.

Please be respectful of copyright. Unauthorized use is prohibited.

"You tried to isolate live virus?" I asked Leroy during my stop in Gabon. He's a courteous, dapper Frenchman, now director of the Centre International de Recherches Médicales de Franceville, who works in a white shirt and dark tie, at least when he's not wearing a full protective suit in his BSL-4 lab or Tyvek coveralls in the forest. "Yes. Many, many, many times trying to isolate the virus," he said. "But I never could. Because it was—the viral load was very, very low." Viral load is the quantity of virus in the solid tissues or blood of the creature, and it tends to be much lower in a reservoir host than in an animal or person suffering an acute infection.

That's just one of three reasons why finding a reservoir host is difficult, Leroy explained. The second is that, in addition to low viral load within each animal, the virus may exist at low prevalence within a population. Prevalence is the percentage of positive individuals at a given time, and if that happens to be as little as one animal in a hundred, then "the probability to detect and to catch this infected animal is very low." If a single kind of animal amid the great diversity of tropical forests represents a needle in a haystack, then one infected individual within one population of animals amid such diversity represents one needle in ten thousand haystacks.

And the third constraint on the search for a reservoir host? "It's extremely expensive," Leroy said.

Please be respectful of copyright. Unauthorized use is prohibited.

Please be respectful of copyright. Unauthorized use is prohibited.

Left: A Freetown couple mourns as a burial worker removes their day-old baby's body. The infant likely died of other causes, but officials ordered that all deaths in heavily affected areas be treated as cases of Ebola.

Right: Gravediggers pause after a long, grim day at the Freetown King Tom Cemetery. As the epidemic peaked, in November 2014, the cemetery averaged some 50 burials a day.

The Perfect Holiday

The cost of field operations in remote forest locations, as well as the competing demands upon institutional resources, has hindered even veteran researchers such as Swanepoel and Leroy from mounting long-term, continuous studies of the Ebola reservoir question. Instead there have been short expeditions, organized quickly during an outbreak or just as a crisis was ending. But going to the site of a human outbreak to do research on the ecology of the virus is logistically nightmarish and, as I've mentioned, offensive to local people. So those expeditions get delayed. The problem with delay is that the prevalence of Ebola virus within its host population, the viral load within individual hosts, and the abundance of virus being shed into the environment may all fluctuate seasonally. Miss the right season, and you might miss the virus.

Fabian Leendertz tried to address these difficulties by organizing a second field expedition, this one at roughly the same season as the fateful spillover that killed Emile Ouamouno, but a year later and in neighboring Ivory Coast. Angolan free-tailed bats are abundant there too, roosting beneath the roofs of village houses. Their very abundance in such close proximity to people suggests a further perplexing question, if the little-bat hypothesis is correct: With the virus so near, why don't spillovers occur far more often? Leendertz wanted to trap those bats, as many as possible, and sample them for evidence of Ebola. Photographer Pete Muller and I went with him.

Leendertz and his team, including a graduate student named Ariane Düx, focused on two villages outside the city of Bouaké, a trade hub near the country's center. After shopping for trap materials in Bouaké's market, scouting the villages for bat-filled houses, and paying respects to village elders, the team assembled their apparatus late one afternoon, in time for the fly out at dusk. The traps were cone-shaped structures, jerry-built of long boards and translucent plastic sheeting, designed to capture bats as they emerged from a roof hole and funnel them down into a plastic tub. Amazingly, the system worked. At 6:25 p.M. On the first evening one trap came alive like a popcorn popper, as dozens of small gray bodies slid down the sheeting and thumped into the tub.

For the next phase Leendertz and Düx suited up in medical gloves, respirator masks, gowns, and visors. With a naked lightbulb hanging above their makeshift lab table, they began processing bats: weighing and measuring each animal, noting sex and approximate age, injecting an electronic chip the size of a caraway seed for later identification, and most important, drawing blood from a vein in the animal's tiny arm. One well-aimed poke with a delicate needle, and a blood drop would appear, to be gathered with a fine pipette. Düx and Leendertz worked together at close range, trustingly sharing tasks, and it occurred to me that if she poked twice at the vein and missed the second time, jabbing Leendertz's finger instead, he could have an Ebola-related needle-stick injury. But she didn't miss.

The blood went into small vials, for freezing immediately in a liquid-nitrogen tank and eventual screening back in Berlin. A small fraction of all the captured bats would be killed and dissected, so that snippets of their internal organs, especially liver and spleen, where viruses often concentrate, could be added to the trove of frozen samples. The other bats would be released. If a blood sample from one dissected individual later tested positive for antibodies or viral fragments, its organs would then be used in an attempt (more dangerous and more expensive, done only in a BSL-4 laboratory) to isolate live Ebola virus.

After a few bats Leendertz stepped back from the processing work and allowed an Ivorian graduate student, Leonce Kouadio, tall, mild mannered, and thin as a candle, to take his place. This was a training mission as well as a scientific investigation, after all, and Leendertz wanted to give his protégés a richness of experience. Kouadio had good skills already, and as he got into rhythm, sharing these exacting tasks in the warm African night, I noticed the T-shirt beneath his medical gown, which carried some sort of resort logo and said, It's the perfect holiday. For him, maybe, but not for everybody.

On His Own

After weeks in the Hastings center near Freetown, Molai Kamara finds himself alone in the world. According to doctors there, the boy lost his entire family to Ebola and, though clear of the virus, still suffers from ulcers himself.

Please be respectful of copyright. Unauthorized use is prohibited.

A Strange Host

Back in the United States, I spoke with more experts during a stop at the CDC in Atlanta and by telephone. When I asked why it's important to identify the reservoir host of Ebola virus, they all agreed: because that information is essential to preventing future outbreaks. On other points they diverged. The most unexpected comment came from Jens Kuhn, a brainy young virologist now at the National Institutes of Health and, by way of his tome Filoviruses, arguably the preeminent historian of Ebola. I've known Kuhn as a candid source but also a lively and generous friend since we met at a conference hosted by Eric Leroy. Why do you think that after 39 years, I asked him, the reservoir of Ebola is still unidentified?

"It's a strange host."

"A strange host," I repeated, not sure I'd heard right.

"That's what I think."

His logic was complex, but he sketched it concisely. First, outbreaks of Ebola virus disease have been relatively infrequent—only about two dozen in nearly 40 years. Rare occurrences. Almost every one was traceable to a single human case, infected from the wild, followed by human-to-human transmission. This suggests, he said, that the sequence of events yielding spillover has to be "extraordinary and weird." Highly unusual circumstances, an unlikely convergence of factors. Second, there's "the remarkable genome stability of the virus over the years." It didn't change much, didn't evolve much, at least until the human case count in West Africa started going so high, providing many more opportunities for the virus to mutate. That stability might reflect "a bottleneck somewhere," Kuhn said—a constraining situation that keeps the virus scarce and its genetic diversity low. One possible form of bottleneck would be a two-host system: a mammal host such as a bat species that becomes infected only intermittently, when it gets bitten by a certain insect or tick or other arthropod, perhaps relatively rare or narrowly distributed, which is the ultimate host of the virus. As we both knew, this harked back to that hitchhiker in Rhodesia in 1975 who suffered an odd little bite and then died of Marburg. It evoked the spider in Bob Swanepoel's lab that carried Ebola for two weeks.

What would you do, I asked him, if you had a big research grant for nothing but finding Ebola's reservoir? Kuhn laughed.

"I'm going to make myself unpopular," he said, "but I would still look into insects and other arthropods."

He doesn't have that big grant, nor does anyone else. The mystery remains. The stakes are high. The samples from Ivory Coast have so far yielded no positives. The search continues.


Ebola Is Back. Here's How This Outbreak Is Different.

Ebola is back.

For more than four decades, the rare but deadly virus has terrorized the world, with news of a new outbreak cropping up seemingly every few years. The largest of these outbreaks took place in West Africa from 2014 through 2016 when Ebola killed more people than in all previous outbreaks combined: 11,310.

Now, the world is once again on the brink of another Ebola outbreak, this time in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC).

As of Monday, the World Health Organization (WHO) estimates there have been 41 cases and 20 deaths in this latest Ebola outbreak. They've traced the first case back to early April, and the DRC's Ministry of Health (MoH) officially declared the situation an "out

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

A Russian lab containing smallpox and Ebola exploded - Vox.com

Azar calls for transparency in Ebola-like death in Tanzania | TheHill - The Hill

Ebola: Symptoms, treatment, and causes